Skellie's Law of Exclusion
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Summary
Coined by Cobalt Ocean's Samoaqueen, the Skellie's Law of Exclusion describes and accurately explains the increasing difficulty of entering the final fray. The final fray is defined as the last fray which subdues the skellies on a particular island.
Mathematical Interpretation
The Skellie's Law of Exclusion can be described as the limit of the probability of entering the final fray.
As the number of pirates attempting to enter the skellie fight approaches infinity, the limit of the probability of entering the final fray approaches 0. Where p is the number of challenging pirates (which, for our purposes, must be equal to or greater than the number of skellies), and E is the probability of entering the final fray. E is a function of p. F(p) = s/p where s is the number of skellies.
While this is the basic function, it is assumed that the individual entering the fray is in an optimally functioning environment, so other factors must be taken into consideration which may alter the outcome. (i.e. lag, faulty hardware, untimely system crashes).
Example
Consequences
Based on this law, some have deemed it unprofitable to be in every fray since statistically, several frays are required to muster the cooperation needed to defeat the skellies. If one has invested a fair amount of money and items into defeating them and is unable to enter the Final Fray, then all the poe invested is lost to the original owner. Thus some pirates prefer to cut down on possible losses by watching the progress of the frays and entering at a later time.
Ironically, one can never been sure when the final fray will be and more experienced pirates know that while it may take more than 40 tries to subdue a group of skellies, sometimes it takes only one... and everyone wants to be in the final fray.
